Would the GOP be better off as a regional party?

Think about these two survey results:

- There is a significant disparity between younger and older voters on gay marriage and some other culture war issues.

- Southerners have a significantly different view of places like San Francisco and France than do the rest of the country.

- The only region where Barack Obama does not have high approval ratings is the South.

Over and over, Democrats have been crowing that the Republican Party is turning into a regional rump party with very limited appeal outside the old Confederacy and a few Great Plains states.  It's true that the South is different from the rest of the country, which doesn't have to be a bad thing.  The only problem is that you can't talk to the whole country in the same way because of it.

The remedies to the GOP's slide proposed thus far follow the same basic paradigm.  The purists say that the GOP needs to purge the RINOs and create a clear distinction between the parties.  The problem is that the American public sees the difference between the parties and is choosing Democrats.  It turns out that the endless harping on pork and nomination battles nominally related to abortion drive the base, but seems petty and shortsighted to most everyone else.  On the other hand, the reformers are more interested in creating more conservative and market-based solutions to problems Democrats are also addressing, but they are scorned by a base that sees them as part of a cocktail-sipping Northeastern elite, thus apostates unworthy of attention.  Moderate Republican candidates who have shown their ability to win in blue states are targeted by the Club for Growth.  They may hardly better than Democrats on some issues, but they contribute to creating a majority of seats.

So how do you hold on to a base that holds increasingly unpopular ideas on social policy while reaching out beyond so-called "real America" where many voters agree with our foreign and fiscal policy but can't stand the anti-intellectualism and public moral posturing of the hard-right southern wing?

   Set it free!

Why not split the GOP into a regional southern party while creating a new fiscally-conservative, socially-moderate party in the Northeast, Great Lakes and West?  Although I don't know if this is legal, why not have the two new parties sign a non-compete agreement?

I see the following benefits:

- The two parties can get together on issues they agree on, like taxes and perhaps elements of foreign policy.

- Freeing the SoCons to be SoCons.  They always lose within the GOP at the agenda-setting stage to the FisCons.  A three-party system will involve a lot more horse-trading, so more issues important to SoCons can actually make it to the floor, where they may even have a chance of winning.

- It does not imperil the solid South.  I can't imagine that many GOP incumbents in Dixie would be ousted by a party more attuned to the region's wants and needs.

There are risks.  There are huge risks.  One wonders how Presidential elections would work. However, it doesn't seem sane to keep trying to reconcile a largely regional base with parts of the country they don't even consider "real," or to write off voters and candidates who can win because they don't tow a line that is unpopular in their districts.  If the goal is not a GOP revival for its own sake, but the implementation of conservative governance, it's worth looking at.

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Comments

Interesting Idea

Liberal ToddLuvsLounging says:

I'm wondering if you'd extend the non-competing agreement to state offices. California Republicans have been getting creamed for nearly a decade since Prop 187 (anti-immigration). If it were not for the incompetence of the California Democratic Party, the progressives would have the 2/3 majority needed in the state house in order to ignore the Republicans altogether. As it is, the national Democratic party is going to take a hard look at the current Republican congressional districts because many were surprisingly close and if the candidates had better state and federal support, the Democrats could have easily added a couple more congressmans.

That said, I just don't see conservative Republicans abandoning state or federal offices to moderates. That is something they just don't do...even in California where it makes sense.

On the state level...

The problem in California is a microcasm of what's going on nationally - a string of election defeats has marginalized the party into a core of true believers who think nothing of isolating dissenters in the name of purity.  It's a downward spiral that has only two endings: broaden the appeal or purify out of existance.

 

The hope is that if Californians could vote for a (semi)-national party built on a low-tax, low-spending platform that didn't strike your average modern suburbanite as angry and anti-modern, at least one decade's gerrymandering would go out the window and the party would get some seats in Congress.  Term-limited California pols looking at where to go next will see an opportunity to pick off some Dems and switch to run under the new banner.  

Of course, states in which the GOP caucus in the legislature has a majority of SoCons wouldn't go down with a fight, nor would they necessarily lose.  But if they want to stay in the majority of a minority party, it's their loss.

California Republicans ..

Liberal ToddLuvsLounging Says:

are probably 40% SoCons, 30% Howard Jarvis NoTaxers and 30% Libertarian/Moderate/Liberals. If the libertarians/moderates/liberals were to form a real Independent Party, then I could easily see them competing with the Democratic Party. However, there are too many structural, financial and tradition to overcome for that to ever happen. If a group of rich moderates ever decided to fund such a party, who knows. Even if a new party was formed, the difference between the Republican-lite and Republican-heavy would probably just as wide as the difference between Republicans and Democrats that I don't see an agreement among the Republicans.

the gop is already a dead regional party

 The GOP,is already a dead southern party it cant win anywhere alse nationally,the demographics have changed compeletly,without hispanics which is te largest growing demographic group. They cant win with old,white evangelical base.I now call for the dissolution of the republican  party.

Well, dussolution may be too strong of a word

The problem is not that the Republican party can't win, it's that the Republican Party does win, but only regionally and only because the message they're selling only resonates in one corner of the country.  The caucus is tilted toward the Old Confederacy and is focused like a laser beam on enforcing party discipline and casting out apostates.  This is a structural problem - the South is different enough from the rest of the country in terms of political and social attitudes that, post '68/'94 ideological realignment, any party of the South will probably be limited to the south. 

So why not create a conservative party for the rest of us that doesn't sell its message based on gay panic and demonizing people who went to good schools?

Regional party?? How about the German model... (CDU/CSU)

Interesting idea...maybe you could emulate German conservatism a bit here?

As you may know, the party currently in power is the German Christian Democratic Union. In addition, there is the Bavarian Christian Social Union which is more conservative in domestic and social issues but more progressive in fiscal issues. On the federal level, these two parties form a common faction.

 

MARCU$