The Promise and the Peril of Sarah Palin

Less than a week ago Sarah Palin was introduced to America and many conservatives for the first time. In the intervening week, the GOP vice presidential nominee has endured a liberal smear campaign, ruthless media criticism and the biggest speech of her life. She emerged unscathed and more respected. In the process she united the right.

What now for Sarah Palin? As Jon Henke wrote yesterday, there is a fundamental misunderstanding by liberals and journalists why people on the right are excited about her. But what is it that gives conservatives so much hope?

From a purely partisan perspective, Henke argues she will reform the "directionless, corrupt and ineffectual" party and change the identity of the GOP in the process.

The question, then, is what Sarah Palin will do with the Republican Party if she has the opportunity to remake it. Change is necessary, but where does the Republican Party go next? That is a question that needs to be addressed.

Henke's point is a good one -- and very likely the reason many Republicans are motivated. But the reason *conservatives* are excited about Palin extends beyond the party (yes, there is a difference). Like Ronald Reagan before her, Palin has a special talent for talking to grassroots conservatives in a way they can relate. Her can-do attitude and optimistic outlook are truly inspirational. After eight years and many disappointments, it feels like morning again in America.

There's an important distinction between her and Reagan, however. It took Reagan 16 years from his "Time for Choosing" speech in 1964 before winning his party's nomination. By the time he came to Washington, Reagan had a committed conservative movement with him and a portfolio of policy goals to choose from.

Sarah Palin is a blank slate. Aside from what we've learned in the past week, we know very little about the woman who could transform conservatism for the next generation. For that reason, we should be skeptical. Certainly not in a bad way, but with the recognition that she's on a ticket with maverick who has made a career of being unpredictable.

Will Palin follow in McCain's footsteps? Or will she charter her own course that remakes the right? She seems like a great leader. So where does she want to lead? Putting aside the talking points, what is her actual, governing philosophy? What are *her* priorities? Will she be a manager or transformative?

The next few weeks will be tremendously important for Palin. As we get to know her, she'll get to know us. What she says and what she does will be magnified because she is an unknown. The excitement she brings to the GOP ticket could be seen all week at the convention. No other Republican has been able to inspire that kind of enthusiasm in a long, long time. With so much at stake, she can't afford to let us down.

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It's her party if she wants it

Yes, we need to be cognizant about turing Palin-mania into an Obama-like cult. But what we witnessed Wednesday night was spellbinding and historic. What Palin has is the "X" factor. She cut through political talk and gets to the heart of what makes America and conservatism great. Palin took on the attempt by the Left and MSM to destroy her. She did it by brushing aside the smears and talking directly to the people. The media isn't needed with her. Palin knows more about real life with its difficulties than every reporter and pundit inside the beltway combined. With genuine grace she withstood the assults becoming a cultural phenomenon. While sounding slightly hokey the more you read and learn about her the more you realize everything she said is real. She doesn't need to quote conservative classics from Burke or Hayek. Instinctually she's a conservative and can do nothing but exude it.

Palin's can be the leader of the party now if she wants it. I know of too many people who will work for McCain simply because of the Alaska governor. Plenty of people in St. Paul wished the ticket were flipped. The question is where does she want to take the nation. The end is a government more in tune with its voters, but how would she take us there? If she wants the responsiblity the conservative movement is willing to hand her she needs to express this. What's her vision? Like Reagan did she'll make some conservatives scratch their heads. She'll probably do a few things that will drive us crazy. However, if she is like Reagan she'll remain focused on the end result.

This is a good observation

She doesn't need to quote conservative classics from Burke or Hayek. Instinctually she's a conservative and can do nothing but exude it.

This is what makes her all the more real. She's not an Ivy League-educated intellectual. She's a down-to-earth mother who reminds me of the people in the small town where I grew up. That's what makes her so dangerous -- she's authentic.

Whatever "it" is, she's got "it"

I thought Laura Ingraham nailed it this morning, although atheist conservatives such as my husband will beg to differ.  That's ok with me, we can disagree about all kinds of things like that without being disagreeable.  My original response to your post got too lengthy, so I posted it here

I must have seen a different speech

Palin did a competent job of reading a generic speech written weeks before her selection, but all that speech told us was what the writer wanted us to hear.  There was no Sarah Palin in it except for lines hastily and obviously inserted for her benefit (Hockey mom/pitbull, a worn-out joke that used to feature a woman with PMS instead of a hockey mom).

Her accent and delivery are extremely mockable, and Tina Fey will be performing the same routine in a couple of nights on SNL.  If she becomes the butt of late night TV jokes, that is a bad sign.

If we are to know Sarah Palin, we need her to sit down and talk unscripted with hostile reporters.  If they are sexist, or over the top liberal, all the better.  Politics isn't beanbag, and she had better be able to show us that she is ready to play in the bigs.

So far all she has done is read a teleprompter competently, and isn't that the accusation used against Obama?

Yes, we must've...

because I thought she came across great.

So what if she has an accent? 

I'm sure she will have time with reporters, and she'll continue to do very well.

She's also going to win the debate with Senator Biden.

Will McCain earn your vote then?

 

It's the Reality, Stupid

"Her accent and delivery are extremely mockable,"

You misspelled ATTRACTIVE and LIKEABLE.

The liberals including our resident lib-trolls tried the teleprompter meme. Palin helped write the speech and ad libbed in it.

What the liberals dont get about the teleprompter meme is this. They all can read a teleprompter. Some better than others. Sarah Palin's poise and presentation is up there with the best of them is what Weds nights speech showed. But it showed more than "what the writer wanted us to hear".

First, it was a speech about her *actual* accomplishments and actual experience and views. Her crack about mayor being like community organizer "but with actual responsibilities" was a good line. Not because she could read the lines but because SHE ACTUALLY DID IT. Palin has REAL ACCOMPLISHMENTS to back up her presentation. Sure Obama can also read a teleprompter speech about "I will cut wasteful spending", but only Sarah Palin can deliver a line like "That luxury jet we had? I sold it on Ebay." She actually did it is what counts, not the punchline.

Palin's speech was a home run because she simply got up there and told us who she was, who she is about, and what she is for. Including being for John McCain for President. The speechwriters added some choice Obama barbs but that's just the presentation around the person. This was Palin. It's the reality, stupid. Liberals are stuck on Obama's vaporware speeches that they forget that its the reality behind it that matters.

its nice that Palin was able to deliver so well that line about Obama's fake greek columns getting put away at the studio lot, ... but in the end, its an unimportant barb: The IMPORTANT point is the same think Mondale said in 1984 when he said "Where's the beef?" ... it's what do you actually plan to do and what to you actually have to show you can and will deliver it?

To put it another way: It's the Reality, Stupid

Palin's speech showed that she can answer the 'where's the beef?' question. She is NOT an empty suit, and she has a life story and actions as Mayor and Governor and on the ethics commission to show fo it. Obama has yet to answer that question. He dodged it in his own convention speech, putting forward in his own speech things like "welfare to work in Illinois" that he claims credit for but didnt really do (others led on it). Obama's guilty of resume inflating to gloss over the experience issue.

"but all that speech told us was what the writer wanted us to hear. " - What a shocker. Okay, so she surpasses at least gaffe-prone Joe Biden.

It told us more. It told us that Palin would be able to defend herself and speak for herself and McCain when the attacks come. It told us that Palin has a capable executive record to go toe to toe with Obama/Biden on leadership issues. If Palin can speak ably on national and foreign policies issues off the cuff, she'll seal the deal on the 'ready to lead' question.

 

 

Yep, she sounds like the brightest character in Fargo

"Her accent and delivery are extremely mockable,"

I suspect the folks in MN and WI love hearing that voice.

Fear

I can smell the fear. Gov. Palin will talk to the public on her own terms, not a MSM that despises her.

The Fear Factor

It seems to me that the greatest peril of the Palin nomination is its overall effect on how the McCain campaign will be viewed--especially by the indies and potential Dem defectors that McCain has to win over if he wants to win.

Both the vp choice (which many view as at least quirky) and the impression of knee-jerkish decision making make McCain look more like the risky choice.

That's a narrative the Dems have been trying to promulgate, but without much success to date (while Pubs have been rather effectively promulgating the obverse).

The Palin nomination brings that narrative very much to the fore. It remains to be seen whether the Dems will work that "risky" vein. They really haven't yet (post-Palin), at least explicitly. (Really: search the blogs--almost no "risky" talk about McCain. Nothing in the MM.)

Steve (fully acknowledged Obama supporter)
http://trueconservative.typepad.com

Palin's Star Power

Sarah Palin is a blank slate. Aside from what we've learned in the past week, we know very little about the woman who could transform conservatism for the next generation. For that reason, we should be skeptical. Certainly not in a bad way, but with the recognition that she's on a ticket with maverick who has made a career of being unpredictable

This is a good observation. We shall see how she grows in office as a Vice President or (god forbid McCain loses) as a prominent Republican voice. Of couse she is not fully a blank slate (we know things like she is in Feminists for Life, which is an interesting category itself) but the full set of developed positions on national issues and ideological drivers is not laid out.

Many have touted Palin and Jindhal and Pawlenty as the future of the GOP. One of the 3 now has star power. This is a good thing, if in the end Sarah Palin herself can utilize that platform for the good of conservatives, the GOP and most importantly the country. I believe she will and it is one more impetus to vote for John McCain.

And btw, can we stop with the lame 'narrative' talk and just talk reality. Palin's not one to say one thing in Scranton and another in San Fransisco, so she's not a 'narrative' person. She is who she is. "Many view her a quirky" is the kind of lame elitist elocution of the NYTimes that ... oh, its from an Obama supporter. No, Palin is not 'quirky' Rev Jeremiah Wright and his Trinity church is 'quirky'.  Yeah, I get it. You're into 'narrative' and I'm into electing a guy that has the right judgement to keep America safe. Narrative is fiction with consequences. Narrative could get us killed. Noonan was right after all. F* narrative.

 

The facts on the ground

The reason I keep coming back to The Next Right is because there's a higher percentage of clear-eyed, face-reality discussion here. A lower percentage of made-up straw men being argued with. But as on the left, it's far from universal, even here.

Straw men like:

Me: "the vp choice (which many view as at least quirky)"

and, Freedoms Truth: "Many view her a quirky"

Note "which," not "who." This is not semantic pettifogging. Non-devotees see the selection as quirky. They don't see the selectee that way. She's pretty normal.

The best posters here are thinking really hard about the reality around them: that indies and disaffected dems aren't looking for quirky or knee-jerk. But that's one of the things they get from the Palin pick.

And you can be quite sure that the people writing those speeches for McCain, Palin, and the rest are talking about narrative every day. It's just a useful shorthand for them, a way to discuss the message they're trying to impart to people. (And yes, I heard what Peggy said about "narrative." No need to parrot it.)

And please: we're all trying to elect people who will make our country successful and prosperous.

your quirky strawman

OK, the pick not the person is quirky is the thought. First, hiding behind the "some say" smokescreen is lame. Either you think its quirky or you dont. If you dont agree with it why bring it up? And if its from some specific source, why no source for this?

The pick was no out-of-the-blue nor sudden nor 'quirky'; that's just one of those feeble liberal MSM attempts to put down Governor Palin that since Weds night looks small-minded and foolish. it was a well-vetted well-thought-out selection on many levels.  It was not unexpected by many conservatives. This post debunks that liberal MSM meme about this being out-of-the-blue so entirely there's nothing but a hole in the ground left for that thought:

http://stubbornfacts.us/politics/2008_election/the_myth_that_sarah_palin...

The best posters here are thinking really hard about the reality around them: that indies and disaffected dems aren't looking for quirky or knee-jerk. But that's one of the things they get from the Palin pick.

Then please wake up to reality and quit pushing non-reality LibMSM BS narrative - the selection was neither quirky nor knee-jerk. 

Governor Sarah Palin has more executive experience than Obama and Biden combined. She has injected energy into the party that few or no other selection could have. She has underlined McCain's maverick stance and shows he is putting reformers on his team and is willing to shake things up. You and the Obama team continue to be befuddled by how a war hero Senator and a hockey Mom who became Governor could possibly be better than a ticket of two liberal lawyers who spent their lifetime in politics and never ran anything but their own mouths. Its befuddling you and frustrating you, so I'll spell it out to you - it's a particular 'narrative' called 'the truth':

http://travismonitor.blogspot.com/2008/08/obama-team-befuddled-by-genius...

Joe Biden and Barack Obama are life-long practitioners of politics. They have no diversity in the American experience outside politics. Two lawyers who decided to go into politics as their 'job'. And Obama's track record is one of left-liberal activism with almost no accomplishments to show for it. They never had to manage a payroll, deal with private sector concerns; they never led or managed like McCain did when he was in charge of the largest air squadron in the US Navy; they never took a 'the buck stops here' stand like Palin did in Alaska standing up to oil cos and fighting and exposing corruption. Obama talks the talk, but Sarah Palin has already walked the walk of change and reform.

As of today, Palin has higher favorables than Obama. Obama has spend $400 million and got 2 solid years of fawning MSM devotion. Palin got 5 days and a MSM and left-blog smears and she's at 58% favorables.

 

Give the cigar to Mad Irish Man

He made this call on June 6.

http://www.thenextright.com/the-mad-irish-man/mccain-picks-sarah-palin-for-vp

Beldar, an attorney blogger out of Houston, made the pick on June 8 http://beldar.blogs.com/beldarblog/2008/06/alaskas-gov-sar.html

She finished second in a poll held by Instapundit in June  http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/archives2/020625.php

If you were paying attention, she'd be on your radar screen

Maybe if the MSM read conservative blogs once in awhile they wouldn't be running around so often acting dumbfounded. 

How 'bout this one. . .

We do have some idea

Selling (or trying to sell, whatever) the Governor's plane on eBay sort of sums it up for her fiscal thoughts. You can argue about her trying to get more handouts from the State/Feds while she was Mayor/Governor, but that is part of the job. Not all bridges are 'Bridges to Nowhere'. 

I think we can be pretty certain of the general locale of her positions on conservation, energy, guns, marriage, and babies. The complaint is - perhaps she's too conservative. 

I don't know her thoughts on fixing Social Security. Or fixing immigration. Or health care. Though we do know that Special Needs kids are a personal issue. Which is actually fine with me.

The only foreign policy piece we know is - Drill Here, Drill Now. There was a little bit of isolationist to that part - "for American use." But if it makes us actually build lots more refineries, excellent.

But I can't piece together anything that has any potential to be worse than any of Obama's policies. Essentially every 'unknown' area for Sarah seems to link up with an area in which Barack is taking a very extreme view. Alaska is larger than Iran, but I doubt she'll call it a "tiny country."

 

Actually, we know another foreign policy position of Palin's

Sarah Palin supported the Surge, and prior to the Surge, she supported the War in Iraq.  That was well documented in Greta Van Susteren's 1 hour docmentary last night "Sarah Palin: An American Woman".  You can watch the entire show on YouTube here

Here's a nice selection of

Here's a nice selection of articles which makes you wonder what it is that makes Republicans so excited about Sarah Palin, the Jimmy Carter Republican.

* An accounting of the $27 million in federal earmarks Mayor Palin got during her tenure in Wasilla, a town of under 10,000.
* These earmarks, earned Wasilla a place on McCain's "pork list" of wasteful federal earmark spending at least 3 times while Palin was mayor.
* Palin hired Steven W. Silver, a former chief of staff to indicted Senator Ted Stevens, to procure these earmarks.
* From 2002 to 2004, Silver was a lobbyist for Greenberg Traurig, the lobbying firm of convicted super-lobbyist Jack Abramoff.
* John McCain bragged in his acceptance speech Thursday about the work he did investigating Greenberg Traurig during this same period Silver worked for them, for stealing money from Indian tribes, an investigation which led to Abramoff's conviction.
* Stevens name is mentioned in emails released by McCain's investigation.

On second thought maybe she's not some new sort of Jimmy Carter Republican, just the same old Jack Abramoff Republican.

Let's also not forget to wonder how the enthusiastic crowd which cheered her speech overlooks her ties to a radical Alaskan seperatist movement - the Alaskan Independence Party - which her husband was a member of for almost 10 years. In each of the last two election cycles, she's even addressed the parties convention telling them to "keep up the good work".

After 8 years of Big Government with Big Tax Cuts I shouldn't be surprised by the cognitive dissonence required to be a Republican these days, but this VP pick would seem to reach new heights, the kind of heights that house the many glaciers in Alaska that Joe Vogler, the founder of the Alaskan Independence Party must have been referring to when he said:

"The fires of hell are frozen glaciers compared to my hatred for the American government"

God Bless America!