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AK-AL: Parnell Leads Young

Submitted by Patrick Ruffini on Tue, 07/29/2008 - 05:54
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Good news from Alaska. A Hays Research poll has Sean Parnell slightly ahead, though the sample size is not quite where you'd like it to be:

Hays Research, 400 respondents (175 GOPers), Republican Primary, 7/24-25

Sean Parnell 45.7%
Don Young 42.3%

Kos made a fairly big deal about a Sarah Palin "scandal" a few days back, but the poll still shows Palin with sky-high favorability: 80-16% fav/unfav. And Don Young? He's upside down 41-55%.

The one warning cloud here is that the Parnell general matchup with Democrat Ethan Berkowitz is a tossup, and Young wasn't tested. But you can bet that Young is down by double digits. Alaska has a tendency to close for Republicans in the final days. It did for Lisa Murkowski and Sarah Palin in 2004 and 2006. Parnell is likely to pull it out. Young isn't.

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Comments

Good news

Submitted by Adam C on Tue, 07/29/2008 - 16:51.

The wording of the poll shows they do not mention party.  So the Parnell-Berkowitz numbers are not so bad.

Most polls provide the same information that the ballot will provide, would you vote for the Republican Parnell or the Democrat Berkowitz.  This poll just asked, would you vote for Parnell or Berkowitz.

That explains the high number of undecideds and the small Berkowitz lead.  I'm guessing a proper poll would show a Parnell lead by a few points (3-6).