| About Us | Contact | Donate | User Blogs | Login |
Tax Cuts: The Noise Before Defeat
Responding to my post on Republicans losing the fight for public opinion on tax policy, Conor Friedersdorf says the Republican Party needs a more holistic approach to taxes and spending.
I’d add that the GOP must pair its affinity for tax cuts with palatable proposals for spending cuts, shrinking government waste, and improving efficiency. One reason the Bush Administration’s tax cuts are unpopular is that they are financed with borrowing, even as we wage expensive wars and expand the federal role in education. The thing to understand about fiscal conservatism is that the bond between taxing and spending cannot be severed, at least in the long run.
I agree wholeheartedly with Conor on the subject of linking taxes and spending, but I have one very serious concern with the rest of what he writes. More on that in a moment.
Tax cuts are a tactic, not a strategy, but Republicans have found so much tactical success with tax cuts that they have come to think of it as sufficient in itself. However, as Sun Tzu said, tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.
Republicans have made a serious strategic mistake in becoming so dependent on "tax cuts", both as a way to win elections and as a proxy for "limited government."
Without spending cuts...
- ...tax cuts aren't really tax cuts.
- ...Republicans lose their traditional stronghold on fiscal and tax credibility (which would explain why the public actually trusts Democrats more than Republicans on taxes).
- ...Republicans end up playing a game of deficit chicken that ultimately favors the Democrats.
The problem, of course, is that Republicans can't focus on spending cuts, because they haven't had any significant, viable ideas for how to limit spending, and the Right hasn't yet figured out how to mobilize a major constituency around spending issues. We can talk all we like about "ending the Department of Education", but it turns out that's much easier to say than to do.
We lack a price mechanism to connect taxes and spending in the minds of the public.
The public perceives the costs (taxes) and the benefits (entitlements, agencies, etc) as separate things, so entitlements and government agencies are about as popular as you might expect free benefits would be.
Back to my one concern with what Conor Friedersdorf wrote.
Alarms go off in my head whenever I hear Republicans talk about "shrinking government waste and improving efficiency" as a solution to the spending side of this equation. Those are laudable things, sure, but the magnitude of the fiscal problems we face are so significant that waste and inefficiency - basically, any of the savings that can reasonably be had within discretionary spending - are trivial in comparison.
The spending problem is an entitlement problem. If Republicans don't start coming up with major, structural solutions to the entitlement burden - fundamental changes to the underlying fiscal incentives in the federal government - then we might as well forget about tax cuts. They're not possible, and politicians who claim they can give them to us are either patronizing or deluded (I'm looking at you, John McCain).
I think there are some good strategies that Republicans would be wise to pursue, but things like major federal accounting reform, entitlement means testing and line item budgeting don't seem to be on Republican radars.
Republicans are playing small ball. That's a game they will lose.
- Jon Henke's blog
- Login or register to post comments


Comments
Thanks...
for posting this. There's a lot of meat there, and as democrat who hopes for more productive dialogue between the parties, I come to "The Next Right" to hear and discuss ideas such as this. I applaud you, and in this conversation, we can find much to agree about.
There's a lot of meat there
Ah, the Concord Coalition lives! "Elitists of all parties, unite! You have nothing to lose but your elections!"
Yet Concord Coalitionism does not exactly thrive, now, does it?
Fiscal Responsibility somehow fails to win the hearts and minds of Holy Homelanders the way that one would ideally wish it might.
In addition to being a deeper political question than most, this one is especially intractable, for the two chief causes of fiscal irresponsibility are
A. Original Sin, and
B. Permitting far too many persons and dollars to vote.
The first factor is entirely beyond human remedy, and the second almost so.
The incumbent Commanderissimo of AEI and GOP and EiB is a crucial specimen in this connection, a handy touchstone or shibboleth. If it were possible to be a Concord Coalitionite in real-world politics, J. Sidney McCain would be one. What could appeal better to cheapjack high-mindedness and brainless mugwumpery than Concord Coalitionism? If a politics of "Fiscal Responsibility First!" were possible, the Fabulous Flyboy would undoubtedly be practicin’ it. But he ain’t, and the only legitimate inference from that deplorable (?) fact is that such a politics must be entirely impossible outside books and lecture rooms and Tanks of Thought.
Impossible at the moment, that is, of course. As always when this theme is discussed, various posters from the peanut gallery have pointed out that there are physical limits, that fiscal irresponsibility cannot go on forever: sooner or later, she who spends more than she takes in will come to grief, either because nobody will lend to her or because she has inflated her currency to infinity. (In theory she might take to piracy and plunder, but as one peanut notes, the wars of the militant GOP have been conducted at a net financial loss, at least in recent decades.)
It follows – doesn't it? – that prudent Concord Coalitionites ought to leave current politics alone and prepare for the great Day of Reckoning, the day on which we really and truly collide with the physical limits and absolutely CANNOT carry on business as usual.
Meanwhile,
We lack a price mechanism to connect taxes and spending in the minds of the public.
The public perceives the costs (taxes) and the benefits (entitlements, agencies, etc) as separate things, so entitlements and government agencies are about as popular as you might expect free benefits would be.
The lack is manifest, but unfortunately the existence of the thing lacked is not. Anyway, Pfc. Joe Rifle and Lady Jane Welfare-Queen -- and perhaps even American International Group, Inc. -- are not utterly unaware that taxes have something to do with those Fedguv checks that they deposit from time to time. The difficulty is not a complete disconnect, but more like Lake Woebegone Syndrome: Joe and Jane and AIG (and everybody else) think they happen to have more need of, or make better use of, what they themselves take out of the trough than the average parasite does. Cutting back a little would be admirable, but of course only if somebody else goes first.
I have already mentioned peccatum originale, however, and there is really no point in moaning about what one cannot make any positive suggestion about.
Is there any point in thunderin’ against it like a Concord Coalitionite? Probably not, not this side of Judgment Day. But God knows best.
Why Do You Want Higher Taxes?
You have to be the only "Republican" I know that is constantly advocating the Republicans not cut taxes. Tax cuts are politically popular, that's why even a left-wing socialist like Obama is out there advocating a middle-class tax cut. And more importantly, it's the right thing to do.
Americans are overtaxed on a variety of levels. I split every paycheck I have will the government, in addition to all sorts of additional taxes like property taxes, gas taxes, sales taxes, capital gains taxes and even death taxes when I die.
We can't sit around and wait for politicians to start cutting spending before we cut taxes because it will never happen. As long as there's money in front of politicians, they spend all of it, and then some.
Everyone hates big government, unless it's their big government. I would love a balanced budget constitutional amendment, one where it would require a 2/3 majority in Congress to raise taxes, but it will never happen.
The most politically viable solution to reign in government spending is to put less money in front of them, and force them to budget. Eventually cuts will have to be made, even to popular entitlements.
Wrong
Look, as a factual matter, this is just wrong. The federal government can deficit spend, and to change that would require a constitutional amendment. So there's no way to "put less money in front of" Congress.
Deficit spending is in the Constitution?
No, it isn't. They pretty much sullied the constitution when they created the federal reserve.
You want voters to demand spending cuts...
...support Congressional candidates who support a national sales tax. If taxpayers have to actually pay for their government spending each and every time they walk into their corner drugstore to buy a Coke and candy bar, government spending will go down, unquestionably.
ex animo
davidfarrar
Where did I say I wanted higher taxes?
I made an argument about the strategy and tactics for limiting government. I didn't make an argument to raise taxes.
focus on the spending
The most politically viable solution to reign in government spending is to put less money in front of them, and force them to budget.
My understanding is that the current administration -- that is, a tax cutting Republican administration -- is responsible for the largest increase in non-defense discretionary spending in 30 years.
So no, cutting taxes and just hoping that it leads to less spending is not a viable plan. Cutting government spending cannot be left as a secondary priority, because then it simply doesn't occur. To keep drumming for lower taxes while expenditures keep climbing is an especially dangerous game, and Jon is right that it needs to stop. I don't see how anybody can disagree with this and still claim to be fiscally responsible.
Tax Policy
Republicans long ago figured out that many Americans have no faith in Government, and they feel like every dollar missing from their take-home is just going to go to some minority, some Welfare Queen, or in some Congressman's pet project.
They fed that cynicism for a generation; indeed Gingirch's Contract that changed the political landscape for 16 years is based on that cynicism.
When Biden said that paying taxes was patriotic, I stood up and cheered.
I like to pay my way; I don't let oher people pick up my check.
And I know that roads and bridges have to get built and maintained, children have to go to school, soldiers needd body armor, and proper, efffective government costs money..
I don't mind PAYING taxes, I mind WASTING MONEY.
And the GOP, and its Conservative backbone, have wasted more of my tax monies in crazy wars and harebrained tax cut schemes than anyone in history.
THAT is why I'm voting for Obama. I have no problem paying taxes as long as someone with a little intelligence and a little conscience is taking my tax money and putting it where it will do the most good.
Interesting perspective
Would you call the foolishness of the Democrats or the irresponsibility of the Republicans in the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debacle, a waste of your money or putting it where it will do the most good?
ex animo
davidfarrar
So Jim, would you be comfortable...
... with a very smart politician, and the armies of bureaucrats ostensibly taking his orders, taking all of your money and spending it for you? Taking as a given that some of that money will be spent on you.
I imagine your answer is no. I just want to see where you draw the other lines.
Because when I hear somebody cheering for having money taken away from him involuntarily, I get a little incredulous.
Typically Ex Absurdum
Of course I would not want to be taxed 100%, that would be silly.
I guess I was right: No true Reagan Conservative wants to pay any taxes at all, yet they want the benfits of a stable society, a powerful international presence, and a robust well-managed Economy.
Can't get there without taxes, folks.
No, we just paying too much in taxes socialist
No matter how much Obamalamadingdong, Say it so Joe, Dingy Harry or Nancy Pelousy claims that the rich aren't paying their fair share, the facts are "the rich" (as they and just about every so-called liberal defines it) pay 60% of the taxes. It is the welfare queens that support ever increasing taxes because they want to live off the confiscated wealth of those who produce it rather than be productive members of society.
Yes taxes on those whoose activity creates jobs and expands economic opportunites are too high. Goverment is way too big and bloated. Make it live with its means by cutting spending and redducing government back to its proper constitutional role and thus we can taxes to pay for its most necessary functions only. That is what it means to be a true conservative.
The facts
1. No one in America pays more than 39% in taxes. The 60% figure is misleading.
2. This tax is on TAXABLE INCOME, AFTER ALL DEDUCTIONS, not wealth.
3. The wealthiest individuals and most corporations pay hardly any actual taxes at all. They hire an army of accountants and financial people to make sure they "minimize their tax exposure". And they do.
4. The wealthy do not care at all about creating jobs. Studies show the Bush tax cut monies went offshore, or abroad into the global economies. They produced little, if any, new US jobs.
Jim:
Big Ben was saying that "the rich" are the source of 60% of the government's revenue, hence his use of the indefinite article "the" taxes. Your argument, that no individual pays more than 39% of his income in taxes, is irrelevant to his point -- and wrong.
He's very nearly correct, actually. A very quick Wiki search tells me that those who earn the top 5% of incomes in a given year (and remember, some of these people are those who just had a windfall year: inheritances and prize winnings, for example, can push many people over the top for one year before they go back to being the lowly 95-percenters) are paying about 57% of the income taxes collected by the federal government.
Furthermore, your argument that nobody pays more than 39% of his income in taxes sounds wrong on its face -- I'm positive you're not counting all taxes. Are you counting:
And even if it were "only" 39% of an individual's income, 89% of Americans believe that no individual should pay more than 30% of his income in ALL taxes.
Your next argument is that
Tell me: when a corporation (I don't know why you singled out corporations instead of including all businesses, but I digree) pays taxes, who's really paying? What do a corporation's assets or income represent, and where would the money go if corporations did not pay taxes on these things?
And do you know the sum of taxes that the federal government collects from corporations, when all is said and done? I'll give you time to look up that number. When you find it, now that you've asked yourself who ended up paying that figure, what does that mean to you?
And finally, you argued that the Bush tax cuts went offshore or into the global economy -- which, unless you're a mercantilist, shouldn't sound like a bad thing, since we buy things (i.e., get something we like in return for our money) from people in other countries. We get something and they get money, and a lot of the time they re-invest that money in the US. My impression was that the money was largely spent on bills, savings and paying down debt -- a sort of confirmation of the permanent-income hypothesis, I suppose. What's wrong with that?
Taxes
No, I wasn't wrong. The top marginal income tax rate in this country is 39%.
What percent of the total tax revenue collected comes from what percent of the population is irrelevant. No one pays more in income taxes than the top marginal tax rate. The real issue is that the top 5% make a LOT of money compared to the rest of the population.
This misleading "60%" Heritage Foundation and AEI point is usually used as an argument to support the premise that the top earners pay more than "Their Share" of taxes.
http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/saez-UStopincomes-2006prel.pdf
An analysis of income tax data carried out by Prof. Emmanuel Saez of University of California-Berkeley and Prof. Thomas Piketty of the Paris School of Economics, well known for their work on income inequality, indicates that in 2005 the top 1 percent of all Americans, some 3 million people, received their largest share of the national income since 1928: 21.8 percent, up from 19.8 percent only the year before—a 10 increase percent in one year. The incomes of this group, those making more than $348,000 a year, rose to an average of more than $1.1 million each, an increase of over $139,000, or about 14 percent.
The top 10 percent of the population carried away some 48.5 percent of all reported income in the US in 2005—also the highest percentage since 1928, on the eve of the Depression—an increase of 2 percent from 2004, and up from 33 percent of the reported total in the late 1970s.
The top tenth of 1 percent (300,000 people) and top one-hundredth of 1 percent (30,000 people) enjoyed the greatest increases of all. “The top tenth of a percent reported an average income of $5.6 million, up $908,000, while the top one-hundredth of a percent had an average income of $25.7 million, up nearly $4.4 million in one year,” according to David Cay Johnston’s article.
The top one-tenth of 1 percent of the US population had nearly as much income in 2005 as the bottom 150 million Americans. Each of those 300,000 individuals received 440 times as much income as the average person on the bottom half of the economic ladder, “nearly doubling the gap from 1980.”
While total reported income rose almost 9 percent in the US during the course of 2005, average incomes for the bottom 90 percent of the population actually dropped, by $172 compared with the year before, or 0.6 percent.
I was limiting my discussions to Income Taxes, not excise or estate or local taxes and fees or "seignorage". If you are going to include those in the discussion, then you should also include in your discussion the fact that income is not the same in all cases. Certain income, such as capital gains or dividends or interest from municipal bond redemptions are taxed at wildly different rates, and payroll taxes cease to be collected from earners at $96K.
When a corporation pays taxes, the corporation pays taxes. The Rush Limbaugh speculation that tax costs are passed on to consumers iin the form of higher prices is pure speculation. That reasoning would have all costs of doing business passed on to consumers, at which point they cease being costs and become pass-throughs. Companies that minimize Cost-Of-Goods-Sold maximize profits in a free market. Raising prices usually lowers sales and makes you less competitive. See, you find a balance.
What do a corporation's assets represent? Basic Accounting tells us that an asset is an item of value that is owned.
What is a corporation's income? The proceeds from sales of its business goods and/or services.
Where would the money go if the corporation did not pay taxes on these things? First, most corporations pay taxes only on the current value of purchased assets, and are allowed to depreciate said value quickly over time. They are also allowed to expense many, many categories. Most corporate taxes are due on net income. If it paid no income taxes, the monies not spent would be up to the leaders of the corporation to decide how to use: Expansion, buybacks of stock, R&D, dividends, bonuses, M&A, who cares?
Do I know the sum of taxes collected from corporations? Yes, most studies place it at around 2.2% of GDP, compared to about 3.4% of GDP for foreign corporations in the 30 biggest trade partners according to the US Treasury in this article from the SF Chronicle,
"..Most U.S. firms paid no taxes over 7-year span.."
ww.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/08/12/MNC4129OFL.DT
most US corporations effectively paid no taxes at all.
And that took hardly any time to find out.
You misunderstand.
But like I said, that doesn't mean that "No one in America pays more than 39% in taxes," which is what you said before. Just because your marginal income tax rate is 39% of your taxable income doesn't mean that you aren't paying more than 39% of your income in taxes.
For your statement to be accurate, you would have had to say, "No one pays higher than 39% of his income in income taxes."
Why is that "the real issue"? Did they all have to do something nefarious to make more money than the other 95%? Are those 5% spending that money to hurt me? If so, you have my attention, but if not, the fact that they make more than I do is not alarming to me. Even if they make a LOT more than I do.
Are they buying things from me? Are they buying things that my neighbors produce? Are they investing that money somewhere? Are they just enjoying themselves more than I am? I don't begrudge them that.
I'm not really alarmed to action by their number, either. But I don't see why you think the 60% figure is misleading.
I looked at the Berkeley study you linked. Here's what doesn't make sense: the point of measuring inequality is to show how some people have it so much better than others, right? Some people, after all, believe that inequality of consumption is morally wrong in itself. But this study explicitly excludes government benefits and taxes, and it disregards employment benefits, and it excludes wealth. Why?
If you're interested in what people are actually consuming, and if you're interested in what people can afford, you shouldn't be comparing income before taxes or benefits. You should be comparing consumption, including some measure of wealth. Because of different tax treatment, employer-provided benefits like health insurance have become a very large portion of total employee compensation, so comparing incomes alone is immediately suspect; low-income and middle-income people are intuitively going to have a higher percentage of their compensation in the form of benefits than high-income individuals. But even if I accept an income-only assessment, here's a scenario that should throw some doubt on comparisons of income as a measure of inequality.
Sure, these periods of his life were all unequal in consumption, but they're a lot more equal than pre-tax, pre-benefit income would have you believe. If these were three different people instead of one person, the study would have you believe that the man grossing $250,000 a year is 10 times better off than the retiree drawing $25,000 a year from his pension, and the retiree is 5 times better off than the college student with a $5,000 annual income from his part-time job.
Again, should I be alarmed? Just because it's "national income" doesn't mean it's a finite pie from which they greedily took a bigger slice. I'd be willing to bet that total compensation for the bottom 99 (and 90, and 50) percent rose from 2004 to 2005, too, despite the fact that the bottom is constantly being filled in with new entrants into the workforce, like kids fresh out of school and low-skill immigrants.
I'd also be willing to bet that the study you quoted didn't take into account that inflation is significantly greater for high-end items than low-end goods, which is just one way that their "real income" figures aren't accounting for differences in consumption, which in turn means that low-level incomes aren't rising as slowly as they first appear, and high-level incomes aren't rising as fast as you'd think.
If someone in there is deriving their income from stealing, then I share your concern. But the statistics don't tell me that much.
That's exactly the kind of discussion I'm looking for. I'd go much further, frankly: money goes a lot further in some places than in others. And people naturally make less money when they are young than they do when they've established a career. So we should be careful who we include in the percentiles: I'd wager that the lower levels of income are dominated by the very young and the very old; I'd wager that people with higher levels of income are much more likely to be supporting other people, especially children. I'd wager that higher-income households are not only likely to have more children, but are much more likely to have more people working.
I won't argue that all taxes are passed on to consumers. I would argue, however, that they are always borne by people and not by abstract "institutions." If it's not higher prices for consumers, it may be lower quantity or quality for consumers. It may be lower compensation for people who work for the company, or fewer jobs available in those companies. It may be lower returns for shareholders (including mutual funds and other retirement investments), which discourages the investment of capital that creates new products and new jobs. It may be less research and development, which means fewer superior products for consumers. But people always bear the costs. That was what I was getting at when I asked what the assets and income of a corporation represent.
And yes, taxes on American corporations limit the competitiveness of the very corporations that would otherwise be providing employment opportunities for Americans. The "balance" there may be that we encourage people overseas to do jobs that would otherwise be done in the US.
And economically, it's just not necessarily true that "Companies that minimize Cost-Of-Goods-Sold maximize profits in a free market."
Again, you're comparing the US to its trading partners. What is the significance of those comparisons?
Back to Basics
In my original post, which you feel the need to correct, take a look at my basic points:
1. No one in America pays more than 39% in taxes. The 60% figure is misleading.
2. This tax is on TAXABLE INCOME, AFTER ALL DEDUCTIONS, not wealth. ..."
I think you are taking point 1 without looking at point 2.
The "Real Issue" we were discussing is Big Ben's claim that " 60% of all taxes are paid by the "Rich" in this country". My basic point that the claim that 60% of all taxes paid is paid by the rich is misleading is based on the fact that these same folks do not pay more than the top tax tier. The fact that that happens to be a lot of money is more an effect of the income inequality in this country than the fairness of the tax code.
I don't begrudge them their money either. But I am not at all concerned that they are paying 39% of their adjusted gross incomes in income taxes or how much of the total tax collected that turns out to be.
As to the effect of taxes on corporations, you are making the same mistake and using the same blinders that Conservatives always use: You look at taxes as EXPENSES, when they are actually INVESTMENTS that capitalize things like the development of technologies like the Internet and plastics and new drugs, the development of infrastructure like superhighways, container ports, better airports, more efficient trade, and the development of new industries that create jobs and create other industries. These are all things that and active, engaged Government BY and FOR the people has achieved with tax monies. And these investments have allowed US Business to grow and become among the most productive in the history of Man.
It does not, as Conservatives hold dear to their angry little hearts, always end up in the hands of "Welfare Queens".
Look, your posts are REALLY long, so I'm going to stop this thread here, K? My wife is calling me to my decadent prime rib roast, since my household happens to be among those top 1% that earn over a quarter million a year.
I guess this is it, then.
By all means. I do like to be thorough so that I can bring as much evidence to bear as possible, and so we don't ultimately waste time on misunderstandings. And while I don't insist on getting the last word for its own sake, I'm going to leave a reply here.
Well, no, I looked at that second statement, but that didn't make the first statement correct. It told me that you were thinking about income taxes, but income taxes aren't all that people pay, so it was still proper to correct you. It's worth pointing out that people pay substantially more than 39% of their incomes in all taxes when 89% of the country believes that nobody should pay more than 30% of his income in all taxes, and 95% believe that nobody should pay more than 40%.
But his claim is not misleading. His statement is not a claim about income inequality. It tells the truth: 5% of the people pay about 57% of the income tax revenue that the federal government collects. I don't know what the number for total taxes is, but I bet it's pretty high, too. It's commonly understood that those 5% make a lot of money. Whether that percentage is more "fair" than another percentage is a matter of opinion, but the number itself is not misleading.
Perhaps I can highlight an issue of concern: The men who founded this country insisted on "no taxation without representation." The trouble with "representation without taxation" is, you can take what you want and stick someone else with the bill, and there's not much procedurally that will stop you. In this country,
But if you don't have a majority spread over at least 33% (much less 40% or 50%) of the representative districts in the country, you're relying on something more: you need other people to think it's wrong to take your stuff and spend it on themselves, when they have the power to do so. The supermajority allied against you doesn't simply stop when the conditions for the viability of society have been met, so what are you supposed to do if you're uncomfortable with the level of taxation levied against you?
So if 50% of 60% or 67% of the country pays little to no taxes, or at any rate stands to gain more in rents than they lose by taxes, this cannibalistic situation can arise. Minorities make inviting targets. Does that not concern you?
Taxes are expenses from the taxpayer's point of view. Government expenditures, on the other hand, may be a lot of things. If we're talking about transfers like Social Security and welfare, which represent most of the outlays of the federal government, it's not really investment so much as someone else's consumption. If we're talking about paying the salaries of government workers or agricultural subsidies, same deal: consumption, not investment. Not that there's anything wrong with other people consuming, but it's a fact.
Very little government money goes into research and development of things useful for you and me, and I'm not convinced by any argument I've heard so far that basic research would not be done if the government didn't do it -- plenty of it was done before the government got into it. More generally, I've seen no compelling evidence that the acceleration of technological progress would have been slower without the active hand of government. The government is not terribly good at running airports, so that was a bad example for you to use. Government's record is also pretty spotty on highways and ports. The government -- actually, all governments, historically -- are bad at creating new productive industries, although they seem to be able to benefit certain copycat industries at the expense of others.
The US was already the most productive in the history of man in the last few decades of the 19th century, when we had a lot less government than we do now. It was also growing faster then than it is now. Americans already enjoyed perhaps the best living standard in the world by the time of our revolution, when most Americans had very little experience of government -- they would talk to an official perhaps to claim land -- if they didn't just squat on frontier land. Even relatively tiny amounts of taxation were outrageous to Americans from the colonial period up to the early 20th century -- the 16th Amendment wasn't passed until 1913.
I'm not saying the 18th or 19th century was in all respects superior to life today, not at all, but the historical example does beg the question of why you think government became necessary for continued growth and technological progress somewhere along the way.
No, of course you wouldn't want that.
JD -
The real question was where you draw the line; at what point does paying taxes stop being patriotic and start being silly--or, going by your earlier words, wasteful? And more importantly, why?
That was why I went all "ad absurdum" on your statement. To get at the principle of the thing.
I know what taxation means to me, and I haven't shown my hand here. I haven't identified myself as a Reagan Conservative, true or otherwise. I didn't say I wanted a "well-managed economy," nor did I say I didn't want to pay any taxes at all.
It's interesting that, while I explicitly assumed you would not give the absurd answer and asked you for clarification, you called the reductio ad absurdum "typical" of me, and then ironically reduced the argument to absurdity yourself. And again, if you look back at what I wrote, it was an argument I didn't make.
And you didn't answer the real question. I'm still curious.
Pick your poison
"...The real question was where you draw the line; at what point does paying taxes stop being patriotic and start being silly--or, going by your earlier words, wasteful? And more importantly, why?..."
I would say that question has been fought over since the first inception of taxation, and it will continue to be fought over forever. In my view, in order to answer what level of taxation you are comfortable with, you have to look at how much you have gained as a citizen of a country or a member of a society, and how much you would stand to lose were that society no longer viable.
In other words, the more successful you are, the more you have at stake in maintaining the environment that brought you success and keeps you successful.
http://www.finfacts.com/irelandbusinessnews/publish/printer_1000article_...
This site compares total taxes as a share of GDP, and we can see from here that the US is actually on the mid- to lower end of the scale.
I would be comfortable with a return to tax rates during the Clinton Economy, one of the most productive periods of growth and prosperity in US history.
As to the nature of my response, I was responding to the several comments that are part of this thread, and making assumptions not about you in particular, but about the general tenor of the Conservative position on taxation, which really is absurd.
I'd like to talk you out of your comfort level
Neither the country nor society in general operate on a straight "viable/not viable" switch. The environment has an incalculable number of components, many of which do not closely interact with each other. For some of those components, if they disappeared, you might experience a change in your quality of life but most of the society/country would remain viable. (For analogy, if you lose a fingernail, you don't die. If you lose only the very tip of your fingernail, you may not even feel pain.) So it's a matter of incremental trade-offs at least.
Secondly, if you have a stake in maintaining the environment that has made you successful, that doesn't explain why you need to be taxed. When it comes right down to it, if I have a stake in something, I trust myself to pay for it more than I expect somebody else to pay for it after they've taken my money.
Why is that significant?
Why not then....
Vote for a candidate who favors limiting the size of the national government, so that you can pour your earned income into the purse of your state?
Comprehensive Structural Reform
Correct. But you forgot the third leg of the stool. There is a desperate need to simplify the system of tax reporting and collection. The reforms would include, obviously, simplification, consumption over income, and transparency, so the public will understand how much of their property is being expropriated and how it is being used. This leg, along with the two you mentioned, must be integrated into a marketable package of comprehensive structural reform soon. Now, I ask, would the Republicans be more or less likely to undertake this grueling and time consuming exercise if they succeed or fail this November? I am beginning to come around to the opinion that the time the U.S. would have to spend in the wilderness during the next 10 years (post-modern culture-politics, entitlement funding shortfall, government interference in financial markets, the weakening of European societies, etc.) would actually be shortened by a Republican LOSS in November. Call me crazy.
Congress Won't Cut Spending
But they will cut taxes.
When has the federal government ever reduced total spending from one year to the next?(outside of defense spending)
Every year it grows, and it won't stop growing as long as they can get away with it. The few years when we had a surplus in the nineties, everyone was arguing about what new programs the government could spend it on.
Even though the federal government can run deficits, at some point even that has to give. It's sort of like having overdraft protection at a bank. Sure you can bounce some checks, but eventually you get cut off. At some point, deficit spending will cause out of control inflation, in addition to all other sorts of nasty side-effects. Defecits are sort of like a yellow light where governments have to at least put their foot on the brake, whereas surpluses are a green light. The last thing you want if you're interested in shrinking the size of government is to have surpluses.
In a perfect world, it would be great if we could tie the two together and bureaucrats had the self control to cut spending so we could reduce our taxes in tandem, but it's just not how the real world works. The only practical way to keep spending in line is to give government less money.
I agree wholeheartedly with that statement.
Politicians in both aprties are all spendthrift. I would love to see a candidate in one of the major parties actually run for president on the basis of telling us what he or she won't try to do for us besides reduce government bacak to its proper consitutional role, but it unfortuantely won't happen. I fear when the Socialist Insecurity and Medicrap ponzi schemes finally reach the point of total collapse. That is probably when the next actual Depression will happen. Today's Greedy Old Geezer Coaltion (the AARP etc.) will be the ones to blame but they will be dead by then.
Earmarks as the new Welfare Queens: Nobody's Fooled
The greatest single failure of the Bush years was the Administration's failure to call for tax increases to cover defense expenditure or corresponding spending restraint in domestic spending in wartime, beginning in 2001 after the attacks. The contrast with the Roosevelt Administration's seriousness with which they pursued the financing of the Second World War could not be more pronounced. The President can be rightly condemned for putting tax cuts ahead of financing the war, a fundamentally unserious proposition.
It was one that was politically understandable: in 1990 the Democrats ambushed his father and were determined to do the same thing to him. However, the failure to properly focus the attention of fiscal Washington on what Sun Tzu rightly called "the most serious business of the State", war, stands out as George Bush's signal failure above all others.
The pursuit of victory in war is the most important element of leadership and statecraft. President Bush forgot this for a while, and then remembered it at the last with the appointment of Petraeus. However, he never seriously tackled the fiscal problems raised by the Iraq Campaign and the larger war against Islamic Fascism. People who go on about allowing tax cuts in wartime really need to go back and read their Master Sun. From victory in war flow all things in a representative democracy. If you don't believe me, try and remember the shape Bush was in back in, say, December of 2006 relative to today.
Thus, in 2008 we are left with John McCain making a fundamentally tangental campaign against earmarks, when a two pronged campaign against domestic expenditure and a entitlements is the only effort that will bring the budget back under control. Understand this: the Bush tax relief regime is coming to an end. Taxes will go up. The Democrats will have the majority and are determined to raise taxes. It's merely a question of whether or not the political class that runs the Republican Party is serious about making an intellectual challenge on entitlement spending.
Perhaps we must wait for Palin to do this: her record in Alaska shows promise on the fiscal side of the ledger. However, for McCain, I suspect the most appropriate thing is to recall what Mr. Churchill said to Lady Astor at dinner one time: "This pudding has no theme!"
NOW
We need a group of politicans and PACs big enough, with enough money to take on groups (mostly elderly-centric groups) who only care about themselves and their issues.
Nobody will fix entitlements because they know old people will mobilize and vote them out of office. That's the reality of it.
Until the 35 and below crowd starts to vote, the elderly will continue to have a stranglehold on the outcome of elections and Medicare and Social Security will just go bankrupt.
I Think We'll Have To Hit A Wall First
I think the only way Medicare and Social Security type programs are going to ever be reformed is if they're just simply unaffordable (even with deficit spending), which is only two or three decades down the road (at most).
The Democrats are going to fight any type of reform 'till the bitter end. It will basically come down to either severely means testing these programs, or you'll have to double or triple taxes in order to sustain these entitlements. The government will either have to reform these entitlements or our currency will be like a Third-World country's with triple digit inflation.
American workers will no longer work here if they have to pay 60-70% in federal taxes in order to support a senior citizen welfare state, people would leave the U.S. in droves, sort of like an Atlas Shrugged scenario.
I hate to say it, but...
The 35 and below crowd isn't exactly out for blood on Social Security or Medicare, either. They're more likely to favor partial privatization of SocSec, but consider also that SocSec and Medicare aren't the only (or even primary) matters affecting their decision of who to vote for.
Consider:
So let's not approach this as a "wait until young people start voting" kind of issue.
It won't matter who you are,
because when the Pyramid schemes that these programs are based on crash the economy will go south. That is when the ratio of recipients of these programs to actual taxpaying workers becomes less than 1:1 (it is already dropping below 1:3), then as others have already pointed out our economy will be the equivalent of any Third World sh!thole. Our taxes will be too high, our currency worthless due to ever increasing inflation, and young wortkers will be leaving the UIS, along with many companies for any country with pro-growth policies, a stable currency and less generous welfare-state.
And by that time if one doesn't exist, I'm sure some entreprenuers will build some artificial island somewhere that they could put such polcies in place (probabaly using a newly created gold-back currency) and welcome anyone with the skills, education and desire to work and achieve leaving the rest world to rot in the socialist hell they have created over many generations.
death tax
Bradley, are you rich? It's my understanding that the estate tax has an exemption of several million dollars? Being poor, I spend my free time reading the blogs, but if I had enough money to worry about paying the death tax I'd be out having some fun. Also how large does the debt have to grow to force them to budget? I'm actually in favor of some entitlement reform for generational fairness, but tax hikes on the wealthy are needed to reduce the deficits.
When means become ends...
...the ends don't measure up.
When the history of American Conservatism at the beginning of the 21st century is written it will recognize that a huge opportunity was lost. GWB took office in 2000 with majorities in the House and Senate, the nation at peace and coming off a significant period of robust propersity with a large budget surplus. By the time Democrats took control of Congress in 2006, both the budget and the deficit had grown at historical rates and the surplus was long gone.
What happened?
One can point to a number of events that weren't particularly favorable. But I believe the most important reason why our public sector and our public debt are larger today than they were in 2000 by orders of magnitude is because GOP leadership didn't really care about small government and fiscal responsibility.
I scratch my head to understand how this opportunity, a generational if not multi-generational opportunity, was squandered seemingly without a moment's hestitation. Millions of Americans worked hard for many years finally to put the GOP in control of the Federal government only to see the party leadership fail to deliver on the set of promises most central to the philosophy of the conservative coalition.
It is all too sad to think about sometimes. We need to rethink the basics, roll up our sleeves and start all over again I'm afraid.